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Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR16HardWed 28 Oct · 01:30 UTCCenter · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Alexandrova E.
36%64%

Alexandrova E. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rakhimova K.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Alexandrova E.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+128 Hard Elo edgeSupports Alexandrova E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1844Supports Alexandrova E.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 864
Hard ELO1 742
Last 106–4
Age25
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 975
Hard ELO1 846
Last 106–4
Age31
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.5M2026 $1.8M

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 16 on hard. Ekaterina Alexandrova is the paper favourite — ranked #33, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage — but Kamilla Rakhimova has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

Rakhimova K. and Alexandrova E. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rakhimova K. went 5–7 (42%) against them, Alexandrova E. 8–9 (47%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 4 better-results split).

5–742%Rakhimova K. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents8–947%Alexandrova E. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–16Sets20–21
118–127Games197–192
0–0Tiebreaks2–2
2–2Deciding sets3–5
Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Rakhimova K. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Rakhimova K.Alexandrova E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate49% (29–30) (ahead)48% (24–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18641975 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17421846 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won62%67% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.84.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 48 matches
Break points saved54%57% (ahead)

When it starts

Center · Next on · Starting at 10:30 AM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rakhimova K.Alexandrova E.
2 — fresherDays since last match0
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
39 — fresherGames · 7 days72
5Matches · 14 days4 — fresher
110Games · 14 days72 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/alexandrova-vs-rakhimova-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).