Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova

UMPIRY

Ningbo Open - NingboQ32QualifyingHardSat 17 Oct · ~15:30Grandstand · After 3 matches

Dayana YastremskaWTA #103 · UKR42%

VSSlight edge · Rakhimova K.

Kamilla RakhimovaWTA #69 · UZB58%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Rakhimova K.

42%58%

Rakhimova K. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Yastremska D.6.1/10

Even match

Rakhimova K.5.9/10

Even match

Why

Surface+62 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1792Against the prediction · Yastremska D.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Rakhimova K.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 831

Hard ELO1 697

Last 104–6

Age26

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $929K

ELO1 864

Hard ELO1 740

Last 106–4

Age25

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $1.1M

Dayana Yastremska faces Kamilla Rakhimova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Kamilla Rakhimova holds the paper edge — ranked #69.

Key context

Under pressure: Dayana Yastremska has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 38 vs Kamilla Rakhimova's 14).
Surface form: Dayana Yastremska 3 of 8, Kamilla Rakhimova 4 of 8 on hard recently — Kamilla Rakhimova the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Yastremska D. and Rakhimova K. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Yastremska D. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Rakhimova K. 4–5 (44%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–625%Yastremska D. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–544%Rakhimova K. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–13Sets10–12

65–96Games94–99

0–2Tiebreaks1–1

1–1Deciding sets1–2

vs Pegula J.#4L7-5 2-6 3-6Brisbane · hardL4-6 0-6Toronto · hard
vs Jovic I.#11L4-6 1-6Wuhan · hardL1-6 5-7Beijing · hard
vs Fernandez L.#25W6-1 6-2Brisbane · hardW6-2 4-6 6-3Beijing · hard

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Li A.#31W7-5 4-6 6-3Linz · hardL6-4 2-6 3-6Rouen · clay
vs Maria T.#71L1-6 2-6Nottingham · grassL4-6 3-6London · grass
vs Siniakova K.#87L0-6 1-6Adelaide · hardW6-7(1) 6-0 5-2Toronto · hard
vs Sierra S.#101L6-7 6-7Madrid · clayW6-1 6-3Miami · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Yastremska D.Rakhimova K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate46% (19–22)48% (26–28)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18311864

Hard-court ELO16971740

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 53 matches

1st-serve points won61%62%

Return points won43%45%

Aces / match2.21.8

ClutchLast 41 vs 53 matches

Break points saved51%54%

When it starts

Grandstand · After 3 matches · Followed by

1Kawa K. v Volynets K.Starting at 11:00 AM
2Parks A. v Vandromme J.Followed by
3Kalinina A. v Waltert S.Followed by
4This match: Yastremska D. v Rakhimova K.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Grandstand · ~15:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast30°C · Mainly clear

Wind14 km/h

Humidity53%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Yastremska D.Rakhimova K.

2Days since last match5

2Matches · 7 days2

48Games · 7 days35

4Matches · 14 days4

81Games · 14 days81

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/rakhimova-vs-yastremska-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).