Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Ningbo Open - NingboQ32QualifyingHardSat 17 Oct · 11:00Grandstand · Next on

Katarzyna KawaWTA #127 · POL18%

VSStrong favourite · Volynets K.

Katie VolynetsWTA #88 · USA82%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Volynets K.

18%82%

Clear edge for Volynets K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kawa K.4.8/10

Heavy underdog

Volynets K.7.0/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+246 Hard Elo edgeSupports Volynets K.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1786Supports Volynets K.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Volynets K.

Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 717

Hard ELO1 517

Last 103–7

Age33

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $217K

ELO1 881

Hard ELO1 742

Last 106–4

Age24

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.1M2026 $566K

Katarzyna Kawa faces Katie Volynets in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Katarzyna Kawa comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Katie Volynets's 2 and 139.
Head-to-head: Katie Volynets leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Guangzhou 2025.
Surface form: Katarzyna Kawa 3 of 7, Katie Volynets 4 of 7 on hard recently — Katie Volynets the sharper of late.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Kawa K. and Volynets K. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kawa K. went 2–4 (33%) against them, Volynets K. 3–2 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–433%Kawa K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–260%Volynets K. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

6–8Sets7–5

63–68Games64–51

0–1Tiebreaks0–1

0–2Deciding sets1–1

vs Kalinina A.#48L5-7 2-6Antalya 125 2 · clayL2-6 3-6Rome · clay
vs Maria T.#71W6-3 6-3Bogota · clayW7-5 6-1Ostrava · hard
vs Udvardy P.#80L6-1 5-7 2-6Iasi · clayW7-5 6-2Nottingham · grass

Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Lys E.#136L7-5 1-6 4-6Cincinnati · hardW5-7 6-2 6-0Charleston · clay
vs Guo H.#240W6-4 6-1Huzhou 125 · clayL4-6 6-4 6-7(3)Wuhan · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Volynets K. leads 1–0

Volynets K.October 2025GuangzhouHard4-6 6-2 6-2

Evidence

Kawa K.Volynets K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–76–4

Season win rate53% (25–22)64% (45–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17171881

Hard-court ELO15171742

Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 68 matches

1st-serve points won61%60%

Return points won47%48%

Aces / match1.71.3

ClutchLast 46 vs 68 matches

Break points saved53%55%

When it starts

Grandstand · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Kawa K. v Volynets K.This match
2Parks A. v Vandromme J.Followed by
3Kalinina A. v Waltert S.Followed by
4Yastremska D. v Rakhimova K.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Grandstand · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast28°C · Mainly clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kawa K.Volynets K.

16Days since last match2

0Matches · 7 days4

0Games · 7 days111

0Matches · 14 days5

0Games · 14 days139

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/kawa-vs-volynets-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).