Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboQ32QualifyingHardSat 17 Oct · ~14:00Grandstand · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kalinina A.6.1/10
Even match
Waltert S.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+137 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kalinina A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1827Supports Kalinina A.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Kalinina A.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 809
Hard ELO1 662
Last 103–7
Age29
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.2M2026 $804K
ELO1 735
Hard ELO1 617
Last 105–5
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $689K

Anhelina Kalinina faces Simona Waltert in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Anhelina Kalinina is the paper favourite — ranked #48, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Simona Waltert arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on hard to Anhelina Kalinina's 2 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Kalinina A. and Waltert S. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kalinina A. went 7–3 (70%) against them, Waltert S. 4–8 (33%). Kalinina A. came out better against 5 of 9 comparable opponents, Waltert S. against 0 — though 4 of those edges carry caveats (lower-tier event).

7–370%Kalinina A. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents4–833%Waltert S. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
14–9Sets9–18
116–100Games108–137
1–0Tiebreaks1–1
3–0Deciding sets2–1
Show 7 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Kalinina A. leads 2–0
20

Evidence

Kalinina A.Waltert S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate64% (41–23) (ahead)46% (25–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1809 (ahead)1735
Hard-court ELO1662 (ahead)1617
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won61%63% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)44%
Aces / match1.31.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 60 vs 53 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)56%

When it starts

Grandstand · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Grandstand · ~14:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity51%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kalinina A.Waltert S.
4Days since last match7 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days1
21 — fresherGames · 7 days28
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
21 — fresherGames · 14 days61
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/kalinina-vs-waltert-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).