Katarzyna Kawa vs Tatjana MariaBogota Round of 16

Bogota · WTA · Round of 16
#119WTA
1664ELO
1662Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#96WTA
1703ELO
1585Clay ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Kawa K.
6-3 6-3
Maria T.
Kawa K.
662
Maria T.
330

Katarzyna Kawa defeated Tatjana Maria 6-3 6-3 in the Bogota round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #96, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kawa K.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kawa K.Maria T.
Serve
12
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
13
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
31
Break points won·Clear edge
93
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1585
5.0Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
71

Kawa K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast