Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawa — Iasi Round of 16
Udvardy P.
Panna Udvardy faces Katarzyna Kawa in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Panna Udvardy is the paper favourite — ranked #71 — but Katarzyna Kawa arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Panna Udvardy's 2. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Panna Udvardy comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Katarzyna Kawa's 8 and 17.
- Last match: Katarzyna Kawa dropped just 5 games past Simona Waltert.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Bogota 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadUdvardy P.: 15 days rest · Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bogota | QF | clay | Panna Udvardy | 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2024-11-25 | Buenos Aires 125 | R16 | clay | Katarzyna Kawa | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |