Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16
Why
Surface+53 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bucsa C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1722Against the prediction · Bucsa C.
Recent run3-match win streakSupports Joint M.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Bucsa C.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bucsa C.
ELO1 814
Hard ELO1 724
Last 104–6
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.6M2026 $1.5M
ELO1 860
Hard ELO1 747
Last 106–4
Age20
Height167 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $1.2M
Cristina Bucsa faces Maya Joint in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 16 on hard. Cristina Bucsa is the paper favourite — ranked #42, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Maya Joint arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Cristina Bucsa's 4 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Cristina Bucsa comes in with 7 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Maya Joint's 0 and 151.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Maya Joint has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 54 vs 18).
- Head-to-head: Cristina Bucsa leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Hong Kong 2025.
Common opponents
6 shared · last 12 monthsBucsa C. and Joint M. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bucsa C. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Joint M. 2–5 (29%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).
3–538%Bucsa C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–529%Joint M. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–11Sets6–12
74–95Games74–91
1–1Tiebreaks1–1
1–2Deciding sets2–2
vs Svitolina E.#6L4-6 1-6Australian Open · hardL2-6 7-6(6) 4-6US Open · hard
vs Noskova L.#9L6-7(5) 2-6Billie Jean King Cup · hardL4-6 0-6Doha · hard- vs Starodubtseva Y.#54L2-6 2-3Miami · hardL5-7 4-6Nottingham · grass
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vs Putintseva Y.#67L2-6 6-3 1-6Billie Jean King Cup · hardW0-6 6-3 6-1Monterrey · hard
vs Udvardy P.#78W6-2 1-6 7-5Cincinnati · hardL6-7(5) 1-6Monterrey · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#64Hard to compareL1-6 7-6 2-6Madrid · clayL6-3 4-6 3-6Japan Open - Osaka · hard
Evidence
Bucsa C.Joint M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (15–22)46% (22–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18141860 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17241747 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 34 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won62% (ahead)58%
Return points won44%44%
Aces / match1.11.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 34 vs 47 matches
Break points saved48%56% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/bucsa-vs-joint-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).