Kimberly Birrell vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#71WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 11 · 1st on
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWW
Birrell K.
1-6 6-2 3-6
Alexandrova E.
Birrell K.
1631
Alexandrova E.
6262

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 64 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 in Alexandrova's favor. Alexandrova hit 5 aces and converted 44% of her break points, ultimately securing 4 service breaks to Birrell's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
35
56
Break points saved·Dominant
11
71
Break points won·Clear edge
75
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
51
Tiebreaks·Even
14
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Birrell K.48%
Alexandrova E.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1752
Surface ELO
5.6+48 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1844
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
81

Birrell K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw