Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova — Berlin Round of 32
Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1838ELO
1756Grass ELO
$561kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#27WTA
1914ELO
1704Grass ELO
$808kYTD
$6.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
Ekaterina Alexandrova faces Anastasia Potapova in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Ekaterina Alexandrova holds the paper edge — ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Anastasia Potapova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Linz 2024.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCAlexandrova E.47%
Potapova A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.7+52 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.3Grass Elo 1704
4.1Overall Elo 1838
ELO gap5.9Overall Elo 1914
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
5.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form3.84 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.5Won 59% in DEU (29)
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.15
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-29 | Linz | QF | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-2 7-6(8) |
Statistics
Recent form62%1st serve in+6%56%
66%1st serve points won+2%68%
45%2nd serve points won+2%43%
58%Service points won+1%57%
41%Return points won+5%46%
53%Break points saved+8%61%
4.6Aces / match+0.93.7
3.2Double faults / match+1.95.1
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.