Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova — Japan Open - Osaka Final
What we know
Surface+84 Hard Elo edgeFavours Siniakova K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1846Favours Siniakova K.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardFavours Siniakova K.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysFavours Siniakova K.
Recent run4-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 922
Hard ELO1 758
Last 107–3
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $925K
ELO1 912
Hard ELO1 777
Last 106–4
Age30
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $18.2M2026 $3.3M
Ashlyn Krueger faces Katerina Siniakova in the Japan Open - Osaka final on hard. Katerina Siniakova holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 4–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Ashlyn Krueger comes in with 1 days of rest and 144 games in 14d, vs Katerina Siniakova's 1 and 79.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ashlyn Krueger has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 64 vs 34).
- Last match: Katerina Siniakova dropped just 5 games past Katie Boulter.
Common opponents
14 shared · last 12 monthsKrueger A. and Siniakova K. faced 14 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Krueger A. went 7–9 (44%) against them, Siniakova K. 8–9 (47%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).
7–944%Krueger A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents8–947%Siniakova K. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–21Sets20–19
158–170Games167–165
1–2Tiebreaks0–1
3–1Deciding sets1–4
vs Svitolina E.#6L4-6 2-6Indian Wells · hardL1-6 1-1Indian Wells · hard
vs Anisimova A.#18L1-6 3-6US Open · hardL1-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Osaka N.#19L3-6 1-3Washington · hardL2-6 7-5 1-6US Open · hard
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- vs Keys M.#21L1-6 5-7Australian Open · hardL1-6 3-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Bartunkova N.#29L2-6 2-6Rome · clayL2-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Samsonova L.#43W3-6 7-5 6-2Indian Wells · hardL3-6 5-7Bad Homburg · grass
vs Boulter K.#58W3-6 6-2 6-2Washington · hardW6-1 6-4Japan Open - Osaka · hard- vs McNally C.#59W6-4 1-6 6-3Charleston · clayL3-6 6-2 6-7Madrid · clay
vs Linette M.#77W6-1 6-4Indian Wells · hardW6-4 6-3Beijing · hard- vs Yastremska D.#103L6-2 4-6 5-7Miami · hardW6-0 6-1Adelaide · hard
- vs Stoiana M.#114W6-3 6-1Roland Garros · clayW6-1 6-2Japan Open - Osaka · hard
- vs Kenin S.#126L6-7 4-6Madrid · clayW1-6 6-4 6-1Indian Wells · hard
vs Boisson L.#255L3-6 2-6Cincinnati · hardW6-2 6-3Rome · clay- vs Stearns P.#37Hard to compareL6-7 5-7Charleston · clayW6-4 0-6 4-0Japan Open - Osaka · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Siniakova K. leads 4–004
Grass: Siniakova K. leads 2–0 · Hard: Siniakova K. leads 1–0 · Clay: Siniakova K. leads 1–0
- Siniakova K.June 2025Bad HomburgGrass7-5 6-2
- Siniakova K.June 2025BerlinGrass6-4 6-2
- Siniakova K.January 2025AdelaideHard6-3 2-6 6-2
- Siniakova K.April 2024Lleida 125Clay2-6 6-2 6-1
Evidence
Krueger A.Siniakova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate63% (38–22) (ahead)51% (21–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1922 (ahead)1912
Hard-court ELO17581777 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)63%
Return points won44%44%
Aces / match4.5 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 59 vs 39 matches
Break points saved60%60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova — Japan Open - Osaka Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/krueger-vs-siniakova-japan-open-osaka-f?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).