Caty Mcnally vs Katerina Siniakova — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Caty Mcnally
USA
Caty Mcnally
#50WTA
1817ELO
1746Clay ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
Katerina Siniakova
CZE
Katerina Siniakova
#36WTA
1846ELO
1722Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Mcnally C.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Siniakova K.
Mcnally C.
62772
Siniakova K.
36621

Caty Mcnally defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-3 2-6 7-6 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #36, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcnally C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mcnally C.Siniakova K.
0
Serve
29
50
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mcnally C.Siniakova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcnally C.Siniakova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
62
Break points saved·Even
73
75
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcnally C.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Siniakova K.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.1+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1722
4.3Overall Elo 1817
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1846
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mcnally C.Siniakova K.
Freshness·Even
94
95

Mcnally C.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Siniakova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1
Quarter-finals
Kostyuk M.[26]
Noskova L.[13]
7-616-0
Potapova A.
Pliskova K.
6-16-746-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-27-66
Andreeva M.[9]
Fernandez L.[24]
7-616-3
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
6-716-36-2
Noskova L.[13]
Gauff C.[3]
6-41-67-65
Andreeva M.[9]
Bondar A.
6-756-37-65
Kostyuk M.[26]
Mcnally C.
6-26-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Bencic B.[11]
6-16-7146-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Li A.[31]
6-36-2
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-46-3
Potapova A.
Rybakina E.[2]
7-686-4
R32
Noskova L.[13]
Samsonova L.[20]
W/O
Li A.[31]
Swiatek I.[4]
7-642-63-0
Pliskova K.
Mertens E.[19]
7-52-67-63
Andreeva M.[9]
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Samson L.
7-636-1
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
6-32-67-62
Sierra S.
Sonmez Z.
0-66-26-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.[32]
4-66-46-3
Bencic B.[11]
Shnaider D.[18]
6-27-66
Gauff C.[3]
Cirstea S.[25]
4-67-56-1
Baptiste H.[30]
Paolini J.[8]
7-56-3
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.[21]
4-66-46-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Jovic I.[15]
3-66-36-2
Osaka N.[14]
Kalinina A.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.[29]
6-16-4
R64
Fernandez L.[24]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[8]
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-47-66
Osaka N.[14]
Osorio C.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.[25]
Grant T.
6-27-65
Baptiste H.[30]
Quevedo K.
6-16-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Kostyuk M.[26]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-3
Sierra S.
Frech M.[34]
6-26-4
Bencic B.[11]
Marcinko P.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
4-66-37-5
Kalinina A.
Bouzkova M.[23]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Galfi D.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[32]
Kenin S.
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-36-0
Sonmez Z.
Bucsa C.[27]
6-16-746-2
Noskova L.[13]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Jovic I.[15]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Mcnally C.
Mboko V.[10]
6-46-1
Shnaider D.[18]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-1
Samson L.
Wang X.[28]
2-66-36-0
Ostapenko J.[21]
Waltert S.
6-27-5
Potapova A.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[4]
Snigur D.
6-16-2
Li A.[31]
Parks A.
6-26-756-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
7-56-3
Mertens E.[19]
Eala A.
6-26-1
Cristian J.[29]
Starodubtseva Y.
3-67-656-4
Andreeva M.[9]
Udvardy P.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-4
Siniakova K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
R128
Sierra S.
Yastremska D.
7-6107-68
Sonmez Z.
Martinez Cirez C.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Kraus S.
2-66-16-4
Zhang S.
Lys E.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Valentova T.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Boisson L.
6-16-3
Siniakova K.
Kalieva E.
6-36-4
Bondar A.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Eala A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Marcinko P.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-07-5
Grabher J.
Badosa P.
7-634-66-0
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
6-34-66-0
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-25-76-2
Jeanjean L.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-1
Kenin S.
Krueger A.
7-626-4
Samson L.
Maria T.
6-46-2
Boulter K.
Townsend T.
6-46-2
Galfi D.
Tomljanovic A.
7-676-4
Arango E.
Gibson T.
6-36-2
Linette M.
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Quevedo K.
Williams V.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Zakharova A.
6-06-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Snigur D.
Kasatkina D.
6-33-67-613
Waltert S.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-0
Udvardy P.
Birrell K.
6-41-66-1
Parks A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-1
Tjen J.
Charaeva A.
6-46-2
Grant T.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2