Katerina Siniakova vs Ashlyn KruegerAdelaide Qualifying Round 2

Adelaide · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#66WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Siniakova K.
6-3 2-6 6-2
Krueger A.
Siniakova K.
6262
Krueger A.
3621

Katerina Siniakova defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 2-6 6-2 in the Adelaide qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Krueger A.
21
Serve
37
64
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
87
Break points won·Slight edge
94
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1723
6.6Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Siniakova K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast