Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Shanghai Masters Round of 16
Why
Surface+44 Hard Elo edgeSupports Auger-Aliassime F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1983Against the prediction · Ruud C.
Head-to-headSplit 2–2 on hardSupports Auger-Aliassime F.
This eventReached the quarters here last yearSupports Auger-Aliassime F.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Ruud C.
ELO2 091
Hard ELO1 858
Last 105–5
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29.4M2026 $2.2M
ELO2 125
Hard ELO1 976
Last 107–3
Age26
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $23.5M2026 $2.9M
Casper Ruud faces Felix Auger Aliassime in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 6–4, defending last year's quarter-final.
Key context
- Serve & return: Felix Auger Aliassime leads on Serve Rating (70), Casper Ruud on Return Rating (32).
- Head-to-head: Felix Auger Aliassime leads the head-to-head 6–4, 2–2 on hard. Last met at Monte Carlo Masters 2026.
- Last match: Casper Ruud edged Learner Tien in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Common opponents
13 shared · last 12 monthsRuud C. and Auger-Aliassime F. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruud C. went 8–6 (57%) against them, Auger-Aliassime F. 10–7 (59%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 3 better-results split).
8–657%Ruud C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents10–759%Auger-Aliassime F. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
19–17Sets22–21
181–171Games218–208
4–2Tiebreaks4–4
3–1Deciding sets3–0
vs Sinner J.#1L4-6 4-6Rome Masters · clayL3-6 4-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Alcaraz C.#3L1-6 6-7Indian Wells Masters · hardL2-6 4-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Shelton B.#4L6-3 4-6 3-6 4-6Australian Open · hardW4-6 7-6 7-5Tour Finals · hard
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vs Vacherot V.#14W3-6 6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-2 6-2Paris Masters · hard- vs Tien L.#16W6-4 7-6(3)Shanghai Masters · hardW7-5Halle · grass
- vs Davidovich Fokina A.#26W6-3 6-1Madrid Masters · clayW6-7 7-6 6-3 6-7 6-1Wimbledon · grass
vs Khachanov K.#27W6-1 1-6 6-2Rome Masters · clayL7-6(5) 3-6 2-6 2-6US Open · hard
vs Blockx A.#28L4-6 4-6Madrid Masters · clayL6-7 3-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Tsitsipas S.#43W6-7 7-6 7-6Madrid Masters · clayW6-3 7-5Cincinnati · hard
vs Cerundolo J.#55W6-1 6-2Montreal · hardW7-5 6-1Cincinnati · hard
vs Altmaier D.#67L3-6 5-7Paris Masters · hardW3-6 6-3 6-2Paris Masters · hard
vs Cilic M.#80W6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5Australian Open · hardW7-6 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Shevchenko A.#111W6-1 7-6Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-3 6-1 6-4Wimbledon · grass
Head-to-head
10 meetings · Auger-Aliassime F. leads 6–446
Clay: Auger-Aliassime F. leads 4–2 · Hard: level 2–2
- Auger-Aliassime F.April 2026Monte Carlo MastersClay7-5 2-2
- Auger-Aliassime F.August 2024Cincinnati MastersHard6-3 6-1
- Auger-Aliassime F.July 2024Paris OlympicsClay6-4 6-7 6-3
- Auger-Aliassime F.April 2024Madrid MastersClay6-4 7-5
- Ruud C.November 2022Tour FinalsHard7-6 6-4
Evidence
Ruud C.Auger-Aliassime F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate61% (28–18)69% (37–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20912125 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18581976 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 51 matches
1st-serve points won71%79% (ahead)
Return points won36%36%
Aces / match6.710.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 51 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)65%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Shanghai Masters Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/aliassime-vs-ruud-shanghai-masters-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).