Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruud — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Daniel Altmaier
GER
Daniel Altmaier
#61ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Casper Ruud
NOR8
Casper Ruud
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Altmaier D.
6-3 7-5
Ruud C.
Altmaier D.
672
Ruud C.
350

Daniel Altmaier defeated Casper Ruud 6-3 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Altmaier D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Serve advantage — Ruud C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Altmaier D.Ruud C.
17
Serve
59
4
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Altmaier D.Ruud C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Altmaier D.Ruud C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
34
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Altmaier D.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Ruud C.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1652
Surface ELO
8.0+237 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1983
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
7.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
3.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Altmaier D.Ruud C.
Freshness·Even
94
97

Altmaier D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1