Katie Boulter vs Karolina Muchova — US Open Round of 64
CZE7
Boulter K.
Katie Boulter faces Karolina Muchova in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Karolina Muchova holds the paper edge — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Karolina Muchova brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 77), Katie Boulter the stronger return game (Return Rating 42).
- Under pressure: Karolina Muchova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 92 vs Katie Boulter's 57).
- Last match: Katie Boulter handed Carol Young Suh Lee a third-set bagel in a 6–4 3–6 6–0 win.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBoulter K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on Stadium 17 · Starting at 2:10 PM · up next on court
- 1WTownsend T. v Preston T.6-16-1
- 2WBoulter K. v Muchova K.This match
- 3MHarris L. v Tsitsipas S.
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | R32 | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-3 7-5 |