Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff — Toronto Quarter-final

Toronto · WTA · Quarter-final

SUI12

Belinda Bencic

#14WTA

1989ELO

1952Hard ELO

$2.2MYTD

$17MCAREER

29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWWLW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 11 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

USA4

Coco Gauff

#4WTA

2071ELO

2035Hard ELO

$4.1MYTD

$34MCAREER

22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWWWL

Bencic B.

Gauff C.

Belinda Bencic faces Coco Gauff in the Toronto quarter-final on hard. Coco Gauff holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 6–2, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

“Obviously she's someone that always puts herself in the position to win the quarter finals and later on in the tournament, so obviously she's a great champion and she's very tricky to play against.”
Gauff C.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Bencic B.36%

Gauff C.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gauff C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Serve & return: Belinda Bencic leads on Serve Rating (64), Coco Gauff on Return Rating (100).
Head-to-head: Coco Gauff leads the head-to-head 6–2, 2–4 on hard. Last met at Wimbledon 2026.
Last match: Coco Gauff dropped just 4 games past Alina Korneeva.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

17 common opponents · Bencic B. 15–8 · Gauff C. 19–10

Gauff C. better · same surface▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bencic B.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gauff C.

7.2

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.0Hard Elo 1952

Surface ELO

6.0+82 Hard Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1989

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 2071

3.1Trails 1–3 on hard

H2H

6.9Leads 3–1 on hard

8.68 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

9.09 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

Opponent rise

5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season

Bencic B.Gauff C.

1st serve in·Even

66%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

68%

67%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

48%

42%

Service points won·Even

61%

58%

Return points won·Even

47%

Break points saved·Even

58%

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.8

2.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.0

6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Bencic B.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Serve advantage — Bencic B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Bencic B.Gauff C.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Even

100

Deciding sets·Even

100

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Gauff C.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load

Bencic B.Gauff C.

Freshness·Slight edge

Bencic B.: played today · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

23°COvercast

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

2–6

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-07-05	Wimbledon	R16	grass	Coco Gauff	6-4 3-6 4-6
2026-03-17	Miami	QF	hard	Coco Gauff	6-3 1-6 6-3
2025-09-24	Beijing	R16	hard	Coco Gauff	4-6 7-6 6-2
2025-04-22	Madrid	R16	clay	Coco Gauff	6-4 6-2
2025-03-05	Indian Wells	R16	hard	Belinda Bencic	3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-01-13	Australian Open	R16	hard	Coco Gauff	5-7 6-2 6-1
2023-07-31	Washington	QF	hard	Coco Gauff	6-1 6-2
2021-02-22	Adelaide	SF	hard	Belinda Bencic	7-6 6-7 6-2

View full head-to-head →

Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff — Toronto Quarter-final

Around the match

Win Probability

Key context

Common opponents

Umpiry Score

Statistics

Serve vs return

Clutch

Serve & return on hard

Freshness

Conditions

Head to head

Draw

Serve & return on hard