Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Elizara Yaneva — Rome Round of 32
Selekhmeteva O.
Oksana Selekhmeteva faces Elizara Yaneva in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Oksana Selekhmeteva is the paper favourite — ranked #91, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage — but Elizara Yaneva arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Oksana Selekhmeteva's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Selekhmeteva O. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Oksana Selekhmeteva 78 games in 14 days, Elizara Yaneva 0.
- Surface form: Oksana Selekhmeteva 1 of 5, Elizara Yaneva 3 of 5 on clay recently — Elizara Yaneva the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSelekhmeteva O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Yaneva E.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.