Alice Rame vs Noma Noha AkugueRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#239WTA
1339ELO
1349Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#153WTA
1624ELO
1550Clay ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLW
Rame A.
vs
Noha Akugue N.

Alice Rame faces Noma Noha Akugue in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Noma Noha Akugue holds the paper edge — ranked #153, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Rame A.20%
Noha Akugue N.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noha Akugue N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Alice Rame 1 of 7, Noma Noha Akugue 3 of 7 on clay recently — Noma Noha Akugue the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Noma Noha Akugue carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1349
Surface ELO
7.5+201 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1339
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rame A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Noha Akugue N.

Noha Akugue N.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Rame A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Rame A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Noha Akugue N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.