Teodora Kostovic vs Jennifer Ruggeri — Rome Round of 32
Kostovic T.
Teodora Kostovic faces Jennifer Ruggeri in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Teodora Kostovic is the paper favourite — ranked #184 — but Jennifer Ruggeri arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Teodora Kostovic's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ruggeri J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Teodora Kostovic 2 of 6, Jennifer Ruggeri 4 of 6 on clay recently — Jennifer Ruggeri the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKostovic T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.