Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya Astakhova — Rome Round of 32
Rinaldo Persson K.
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson faces Darya Astakhova in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is the paper favourite — ranked #219 — but Darya Astakhova arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Kajsa Rinaldo Persson's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rinaldo Persson K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 5 of 10, Darya Astakhova 7 of 10 on clay recently — Darya Astakhova the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRinaldo Persson K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.