Fiona Ferro vs Aurora Zantedeschi — Rome Round of 32
Ferro F.
Fiona Ferro faces Aurora Zantedeschi in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Fiona Ferro holds the paper edge — ranked #188, a roughly 300-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Ferro F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Fiona Ferro comes in with 19 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Aurora Zantedeschi's 1 and 75.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Aurora Zantedeschi rising, Fiona Ferro cooling.
- Surface form: Fiona Ferro 6 of 9, Aurora Zantedeschi 7 of 9 on clay recently — Aurora Zantedeschi the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFerro F.: 19 days rest · Zantedeschi A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.