Martina Trevisan vs Tyra Caterina GrantRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#405WTA
1462ELO
1450Clay ELO
32 yrs · 160 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#172WTA
1672ELO
1648Clay ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWW
Trevisan M.
vs
Grant T.

Martina Trevisan faces Tyra Caterina Grant in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Tyra Caterina Grant holds the paper edge — ranked #172, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Trevisan M.21%
Grant T.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Grant T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1450
Surface ELO
7.5+198 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1462
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1672
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
35%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Trevisan M.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Grant T.

Grant T.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Trevisan M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Grant T.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CMainly clear
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.