Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia Bronzetti — Rome Round of 32
Mazzola A.Alessandra Mazzola faces Lucia Bronzetti in the Rome round of 32 on clay. Lucia Bronzetti holds the paper edge — ranked #139, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Bronzetti L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alessandra Mazzola comes in with 1 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Lucia Bronzetti's 18 and 0.
- Surface form: Both 5 of 7 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMazzola A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Kovinic D. v Basiletti N.
- 2Kostovic T. v Ruggeri J.
- 3Trevisan M. v Grant T.
- 4Mazzola A. v Bronzetti L.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.