Sofya Lansere vs Elena MalyginaRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#276WTA
1394ELO
1305Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 4th on
#312WTA
1378ELO
1270Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWWLW
Lansere S.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Malygina E.
Lansere S.
4662
Malygina E.
6141

Sofya Lansere fought back from a set down to beat Elena Malygina 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Rome round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 4: A 15-point game with five deuces went Elena Malygina's way.
  • Set 2, game 1: Sofya Lansere broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Sofya Lansere converted 10 of 18 break points; Elena Malygina converted 7 of 22 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Lansere S.
Malygina E.
Break points won
10/18
7/22
Break points saved
15/22
8/18

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lansere S.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Malygina E.

Malygina E.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Lansere S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Lansere S.59%
Malygina E.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lansere S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1270
4.7Overall Elo 1394
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1378
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
74

Malygina E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 56%