Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessica PieriRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#170WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLLLL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#284WTA
1327ELO
1325Clay ELO
29 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLWLL
Brancaccio N.
vs
Pieri J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Brancaccio N.86%
Pieri J.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brancaccio N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+161 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1325
6.2Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1327
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Pieri J.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brancaccio N.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Pieri J.

Pieri J.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Brancaccio N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Brancaccio N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.