Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Iasi Round of 16
SUI
Kym J.
Jerome Kym faces Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Jerome Kym is the paper favourite — ranked #196, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Jerome Kym's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jerome Kym has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 35 vs 10).
- Last match: Jerome Kym handed Thomas Faurel a first-set bagel in a 6–0 2–6 6–2 win.
- Fatigue load: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKym J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.