Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowski — Iasi Round of 16
Martinez P.
Pedro Martinez faces Maks Kasnikowski in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Pedro Martinez holds the paper edge — ranked #134, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Martinez P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Pedro Martinez 0 games in 14 days, Maks Kasnikowski 113.
- Under pressure: Pedro Martinez has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Maks Kasnikowski's 13).
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at US Open 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadMartinez P.: 15 days rest · Kasnikowski M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed By · up next on court
- 2Martinez P. v Kasnikowski M.This match
- 3Piros Z. v Dzumhur D.
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R128 | hard | Pedro Martinez | 6-7(6) 6-1 6-2 3-6 7-6(6) |