Stefan Palosi vs Zdenek KolarIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#411ATP
1369ELO
1355Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#154ATP
1502ELO
1488Clay ELO
$121kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLWLW
Palosi S.
vs
Kolar Z.

Stefan Palosi faces Zdenek Kolar in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Zdenek Kolar holds the paper edge — ranked #154, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC
Palosi S.29%
Kolar Z.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kolar Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
6.7+134 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1369
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1502
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Palosi S.Cooling
Kolar Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Palosi S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Kolar Z.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Palosi S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
71
98

Palosi S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Kolar Z.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.