Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Taro DanielIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#201ATP
1506ELO
1482Clay ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#203ATP
1566ELO
1541Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWLWW
Olivieri G.
vs
Daniel T.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri faces Taro Daniel in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Genaro Alberto Olivieri is the paper favourite — ranked #201 — but Taro Daniel arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay to Genaro Alberto Olivieri's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC
Olivieri G.41%
Daniel T.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Daniel T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1482
Surface ELO
5.7+58 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1566
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Olivieri G.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Olivieri G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
42
Break points saved·Dominant
25
93
Break points won·Clear edge
20
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
18
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
63
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
99
100

Olivieri G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Daniel T.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.