Zsombor Piros vs Damir DzumhurIasi Round of 16

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#169ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$145kYTD
$975kCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#105ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLWLW
Piros Z.
vs
Dzumhur D.

Zsombor Piros faces Damir Dzumhur in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Damir Dzumhur is the paper favourite — ranked #105 — but Zsombor Piros arrives in form, winning all 6 of their last clay matches to Damir Dzumhur's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Piros Z.68%
Dzumhur D.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+26 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1594
5.3Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1638
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
8.48 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Piros Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Piros Z.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Serve advantage — Piros Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
71
Break points saved·Even
84
87
Break points won·Dominant
32
64
Deciding sets·Even
84
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on clay

Piros Z.Dzumhur D.
Serve
0
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
85

Piros Z.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 104 games (7d) · Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on CENTER COURT · not before Not Before 18:00 · up next on court

  1. 1Simakin I. v Midon L.
    5-73-6
  2. 2Martinez P. v Kasnikowski M.
    6-43-65-7
  3. 3Piros Z. v Dzumhur D.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 85%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.