Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luka PavlovicIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#231ATP
1479ELO
1416Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#217ATP
1441ELO
1400Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Ferreira Silva F.
vs
Pavlovic L.

Frederico Ferreira Silva faces Luka Pavlovic in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Luka Pavlovic holds the paper edge — ranked #217.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Ferreira Silva F.53%
Pavlovic L.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1400
5.5Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1441
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
54%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
10.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ferreira Silva F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Pavlovic L.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ferreira Silva F.

Serve advantage — Ferreira Silva F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
59
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
93
Break points won·Even
26
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
60
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
73

Ferreira Silva F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.