Borna Gojo vs Gustavo HeideIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#175ATP
1682ELO
1641Clay ELO
$139kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#141ATP
1703ELO
1690Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$609kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWWW
Gojo B.
vs
Heide G.

Borna Gojo faces Gustavo Heide in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Gustavo Heide holds the paper edge — ranked #141, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Gojo B.39%
Heide G.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Heide G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1641
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gojo B.Cooling
Heide G.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gojo B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Heide G.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gojo B.

Serve advantage — Gojo B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
53
49
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Even
10
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
58
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
63

Gojo B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Heide G.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.