Jerome Kym vs Thomas FaurelIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#196ATP
1617ELO
1549Clay ELO
$89kYTD
$731kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLLLLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#321ATP
1356ELO
1318Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL
Kym J.
vs
Faurel T.

Jerome Kym faces Thomas Faurel in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Jerome Kym is the paper favourite — ranked #196, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage — but Thomas Faurel arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay to Jerome Kym's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC
Kym J.88%
Faurel T.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kym J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+231 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1318
8.3Overall Elo 1617
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1356
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kym J.Stable
Faurel T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kym J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Faurel T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kym J.

Serve advantage — Kym J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
89

Kym J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Faurel T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.