Ognjen Milic vs Guido Ivan JustoBrasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#357ATP
1371ELO
1367Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLLLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
#238ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWWL
Milic O.
vs
Justo G.

Ognjen Milic faces Guido Ivan Justo in the Brasov round of 16 on clay. Guido Ivan Justo holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Milic O.21%
Justo G.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Justo G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1367
Surface ELO
5.8+66 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1371
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1443
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.93 of last 7 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Milic O.Stable
Justo G.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

15 vs 44 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
51%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Milic O.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Justo G.

Justo G.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Milic O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
94

Milic O.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Justo G.: 11 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.