Janice Tjen vs Caty McnallyEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#43WTA
1715ELO
1604Grass ELO
$614kYTD
$969kCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#54WTA
1812ELO
1705Grass ELO
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLLW
Tjen J.
vs
Mcnally C.

Janice Tjen faces Caty Mcnally in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Janice Tjen is the paper favourite — ranked #43 — but Caty Mcnally arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on grass to Janice Tjen's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Tjen J.24%
Mcnally C.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mcnally C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Grass Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.3+101 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1715
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.02 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
7.28 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tjen J.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tjen J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tjen J.

Serve advantage — Mcnally C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
73
Break points won·Clear edge
85
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
72

Tjen J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.