Zeynep Sonmez vs Hanne Vandewinkel — Eastbourne Qualifying Semi-final
Sonmez Z.
Zeynep Sonmez faces Hanne Vandewinkel in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Zeynep Sonmez holds the paper edge — ranked #61, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Sonmez Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Zeynep Sonmez comes in with 1 days of rest and 142 games in 14d, vs Hanne Vandewinkel's 8 and 86.
- Surface form: Zeynep Sonmez 4 of 6, Hanne Vandewinkel 3 of 6 on grass recently — Zeynep Sonmez the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSonmez Z.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d) · Vandewinkel H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 4 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Osorio C. v Tomljanovic A.
- 2Sonmez Z. v Vandewinkel H.This match
- 4Marcinko P. v Waltert S.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.