Camila Osorio vs Ajla Tomljanovic — Eastbourne Qualifying Semi-final
Osorio C.
Camila Osorio faces Ajla Tomljanovic in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Camila Osorio holds the paper edge — ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Osorio C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Camila Osorio comes in with 20 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Ajla Tomljanovic's 6 and 86.
- Serve & return: Ajla Tomljanovic leads on Serve Rating (24), Camila Osorio on Return Rating (68).
- Head-to-head: Camila Osorio leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Beijing 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadOsorio C.: 20 days rest · Tomljanovic A.: 6 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 4 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court
- 1Osorio C. v Tomljanovic A.This match
- 2Sonmez Z. v Vandewinkel H.
- 4Marcinko P. v Waltert S.
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R128 | hard | Camila Osorio | 1-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-08-19 | Monterrey | R32 | hard | Camila Osorio | 6-2 7-6(3) |