Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks — Eastbourne Qualifying Semi-final
Arango E.
Emiliana Arango faces Alycia Parks in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Alycia Parks is the paper favourite — ranked #79, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage — but Emiliana Arango has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Parks A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Emiliana Arango comes in with 6 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Alycia Parks's 4 and 60.
- Serve & return: Alycia Parks brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 28), Emiliana Arango the stronger return game (Return Rating 67).
- Head-to-head: Emiliana Arango leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Austin 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
When it starts
4th on COURT 5 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 3Spink I. v Birrell K.
- 4Arango E. v Parks A.This match
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-26 | Austin | R32 | hard | Emiliana Arango | 6-2 6-3 |