Peyton Stearns vs Emily Appleton — Eastbourne Qualifying Semi-final
Stearns P.
Peyton Stearns faces Emily Appleton in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Peyton Stearns holds the paper edge — ranked #64, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 280-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Stearns P. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Peyton Stearns 0 games in 14 days, Emily Appleton 45.
- Stage: Peyton Stearns defends last year's round of 16.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadStearns P.: 21 days rest · Appleton E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Xu M. v Jacquemot E.
- 2Stearns P. v Appleton E.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.