Mingge Xu vs Elsa JacquemotEastbourne Qualifying Semi-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
1443ELO
1374Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWL
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 1st on
#82WTA
1633ELO
1575Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLLL
Xu M.
vs
Jacquemot E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Xu M.23%
Jacquemot E.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jacquemot E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Grass Elo 1374
Surface ELO
7.5+202 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1633
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.0Home country · 0/3 here
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Xu M.Surging

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

9 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
34%
Service points won·Even
55%
51%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
45%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
6.1
7.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Xu M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jacquemot E.

Jacquemot E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Xu M.

Serve advantage — Xu M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Xu M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 1 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Xu M. v Jacquemot E.This match
  2. 2Stearns P. v Appleton E.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.