Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemot — Eastbourne Qualifying Final
Sonmez Z.
Zeynep Sonmez faces Elsa Jacquemot in the Eastbourne qualifying final on grass. Zeynep Sonmez holds the paper edge — ranked #61, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sonmez Z. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Zeynep Sonmez comes in with 2 days of rest and 142 games in 14d, vs Elsa Jacquemot's 7 and 48.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Zeynep Sonmez has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 86 vs 33).
- Last match: Elsa Jacquemot dropped the opening set before beating Mingge Xu 5–7 6–2 6–3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSonmez Z.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | Merida | R16 | hard | Zeynep Sonmez | 7-6(3) 6-3 |