Sofia Kenin vs Daria Snigur — Eastbourne Qualifying Semi-final
Eastbourne · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 4th on
Kenin S.vs
Snigur D.
Sofia Kenin faces Daria Snigur in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Daria Snigur holds the paper edge — ranked #75.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTCKenin S.41%
Snigur D.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Snigur D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Sofia Kenin's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Daria Snigur's has cooled.
- Stage: Sofia Kenin defends last year's round of 32.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO5.2+13 Grass Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap6.4Overall Elo 1766
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.96 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
13 vs 37 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Snigur D.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 80%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.