Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika ErjavecEastbourne Qualifying Final

Eastbourne · WTA · Qualifying Final
#96WTA
1698ELO
1630Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLLLL
Sets
Sunday, 21 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 1st on
#86WTA
1632ELO
1560Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWWW
Tomljanovic A.
vs
Erjavec V.

Ajla Tomljanovic faces Veronika Erjavec in the Eastbourne qualifying final on grass. Veronika Erjavec holds the paper edge — ranked #86.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:21 UTC
Tomljanovic A.63%
Erjavec V.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tomljanovic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1560
5.2Overall Elo 1698
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.55 of last 8 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.1Won 52% in GBR (23)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Erjavec V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
83
Break points won·Even
92
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
82
Tiebreaks·
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Tomljanovic A.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Erjavec V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 1 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Tomljanovic A. v Erjavec V.This match
  2. 2Stearns P. v Birrell K.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.