Elena Rybakina vs Ajla TomljanovicNingbo Quarter-final

Ningbo · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Rybakina E.
6-2 6-0
Tomljanovic A.
Rybakina E.
662
Tomljanovic A.
200

Elena Rybakina defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 6-0 in the Ningbo quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-27WimbledonQFgrassElena Rybakina4-6 6-2 6-3
2021-04-29MadridR64clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Tomljanovic A.
100
Serve
26
34
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
71
Break points saved·Dominant
98
73
Break points won·Even
96
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+387 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1723
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
96

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%