Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana SelekhmetevaEastbourne Qualifying Semi-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#65WTA
1716ELO
1627Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLLW
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 12 · 3rd on
#89WTA
1685ELO
1528Grass ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLLLL
Rakhimova K.
vs
Selekhmeteva O.

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Eastbourne qualifying semi-final on grass. Kamilla Rakhimova is the paper favourite — ranked #65, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage — but Oksana Selekhmeteva has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Rakhimova K.71%
Selekhmeteva O.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rakhimova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1528
4.7Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1685
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.02 of last 5 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.4
6.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Selekhmeteva O.

Selekhmeteva O.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
50
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
67
76
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
17
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Rakhimova K.Selekhmeteva O.
6
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
95

Rakhimova K.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Selekhmeteva O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on COURT 12 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Tararudee L. v Erjavec V.
  2. 2Zakharova A. v Tagger L.
  3. 3Rakhimova K. v Selekhmeteva O.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23AustinR16hardOksana Selekhmeteva6-2 7-5