Talia Gibson vs Madison Keys — Eastbourne Round of 32
USA
Gibson T.
Talia Gibson faces Madison Keys in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Madison Keys holds the paper edge — ranked #28, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Keys M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Talia Gibson grades 48 on serve, Madison Keys 44 on return.
- Freshness: Talia Gibson comes in with 1 days of rest and 99 games in 14d, vs Madison Keys's 1 and 68.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.