Sara Bejlek vs Laura SiegemundEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#47WTA
1786ELO
1504Grass ELO
$565kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#42WTA
1779ELO
1671Grass ELO
$730kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL
Bejlek S.
vs
Siegemund L.

Sara Bejlek faces Laura Siegemund in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Laura Siegemund holds the paper edge — ranked #42, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Bejlek S.48%
Siegemund L.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Grass Elo 1504
Surface ELO
7.1+167 Grass Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bejlek S.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Siegemund L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Serve advantage — Bejlek S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
68
Break points saved·Even
77
80
Break points won·Slight edge
97
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
78
Tiebreaks·
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
96

Bejlek S.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Siegemund L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.