Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yaneva — Brescia Round of 16
Ortenzi J.
Jazmin Ortenzi faces Elizara Yaneva in the Brescia round of 16 on clay. Jazmin Ortenzi holds the paper edge — ranked #159, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Ortenzi J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jazmin Ortenzi comes in with 8 days of rest and 43 games in 14d, vs Elizara Yaneva's 1 and 18.
- Last match: Jazmin Ortenzi dropped just 6 games past Francesca Pace.
- Last match: Elizara Yaneva dropped just 6 games past Georgia Pedone.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadOrtenzi J.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Yaneva E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.