Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco PassaroParma Round of 32

Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#327ATP
1442ELO
1416Clay ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
clay
#166ATP
1626ELO
1615Clay ELO
$85kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWWWW
Roca Batalla O.
vs
Passaro F.

Oriol Roca Batalla faces Francesco Passaro in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Francesco Passaro holds the paper edge — ranked #166, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Roca Batalla O.24%
Passaro F.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1416
Surface ELO
7.5+199 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1626
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Roca Batalla O.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Passaro F.

Passaro F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Roca Batalla O.

Serve advantage — Roca Batalla O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
89
Break points won·Slight edge
2
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
9
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Roca Batalla O.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.