Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche — Parma Round of 32
Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#226ATP
1521ELO
1499Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#98ATP
1655ELO
1572Clay ELO
$222kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLLL
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo faces Luca Van Assche in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Luca Van Assche is the paper favourite — ranked #98, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Luca Van Assche's 2.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 6 of 10, Luca Van Assche 2 of 10 on clay recently — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo the sharper of late.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCSanchez Izquierdo N.34%
Van Assche L.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Van Assche L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1499
Surface ELO5.9+73 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1520
ELO gap6.7Overall Elo 1655
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form2.52 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form65%1st serve in+3%62%
68%1st serve points won+2%66%
54%2nd serve points won+6%48%
63%Service points won+4%59%
42%Return points won+2%40%
51%Break points saved+12%63%
2.3Aces / match2.3
2.3Double faults / match+0.62.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.